March 28, 2011
Libyan Progress, Syrian questions.
The quick turnaround may stifle some overdone gloom and doom, (Libya and Arab unrest – live blog | World news | guardian.co.uk) although of course just as gloom and doom was overdone, it would be
• Libyan rebels have pushed west towards Gaddafi's home city of Sirte. The revolutionary forces seized towns along Libya's coastal road towards the town after government forces fled western air strikes. A Libyan rebel spokesman said Sirte had been captured by the rebels on Monday morning, but this hasn't been independently verified.Meanwhile, it is hard to make out what may occur in Syria. On one hand it would be excellent if the Baathist regime in Syria was shown the door, it's decades of incompetence really are enough. On the other hand, the region hardly needs yet another country to descend into chaos. Much fun this may present to the Polisci types that love whanking over such developments, for business this level of uncertainty, just not helpful. I hope that Assad el Ibn is clever and modern enough to somehow work a transition. The Baath party is rubbish, but the Alaouite minority could be in for some rough times if a revolution occurs.
• Rebel forces have taken a number of government-held oil towns including Brega, Ras Lanuf and Bin Jawad in the rapid push west along 150 miles of Libya's coastal road towards Sirte. There have been rumours that the outskirts of Gaddafi's home city have been mined.
On Lounsbury front, I am on a major bizdev mission for travel for several weeks, so posting may be irregular (if anyone ever finds me a ref to a bberry app that is compatible with this blog software, I may be willing to bribe them).
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On the last point, as a Polisci type, but who really really knew the ground, commented in and on Syria years back to a question on what would be the status of the Alawites if the Baathists were overthrown:
As a general whanking fan of these overall changes going on, still I fear that savage post-revolutionary terror is neverthelsess indeed another serious downside of all of them.
On the other hand, the region hardly needs yet another country to descend into chaos. Much fun this may present to the Polisci types that love whanking over such developments, for business this level of uncertainty, just not helpful.
Always good to hedge portfolio with war-profiteering and assorted smuggling ventures in such regions.
Posted by: matthew h at March 28, 2011 09:18 AM
although of course just as gloom and doom was overdone, it would be
"premature to declare victory just yet"?
Posted by: Tom Scudder at March 28, 2011 06:50 PM
I've just found this upon my first Google search, but:
This blog is built on Movable Type. This app claims to support Movable Type. I don't own a BB and don't have posting rights so I can't test anything. The two reviews on AppWorld are not good at all, so caveat emptor.
Posted by: Guybrush Threepwood at March 31, 2011 11:27 PM