February 28, 2011
Tunisia, more resignations
Well, I hope this will calm spirits. Libya uprising - live updates | World news | guardian.co.uk
2.20pm - Tunisia: The Tunisian industry and technology minister has resigned from the government, according to the official TAP news agency.Unike Shaheen I don't think Ghannouchi was per se a bad fellow to be there, but damaged goods is damaged goods. If this allows movement forward, fine. But I worry that the hot-headed instant results oriented people will continue to push, at the expense of building more durable efforts, politics. In any case, in light of the events in Egypt, and especially in Libya, the Ghannouchi types come off looking comparatively good re mature politics.
Mohamed Afif Chelbi was one of only two remaining ministers who served in the cabinet under the ousted president, Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali. His exit comes in the wake of yesterday's resignation of the prime minister, Mohamed Ghannouchi, who held the same post under Ben Ali.
Ghannouchi quit after renewed violent demonstrations in the country by protesters angry about ties of members of the post-revolution government to the old regime.
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What's our metric here? If the Egyptians let the military command council sit in place, then Mubarak's departure was merely cosmetic. but if the Tunisians shake out the old CDR, it's too much too fast.
What's the optimal turnover rate determinant of revolution?
Posted by: matthew h at February 28, 2011 11:04 AM
The metric is that Lounsbury in principle supports democracy, but is always über worried about the results when people take the matters in their own hands, due to uncertainty, etc. as is typical of an investor.
Here's the money quote:
"But on the main streets of thousands of towns, people are simply taking matters into their own hands. They often don’t quite know how an elected town hall works, but they sure know how authoritarianism works, and they want to avoid its return at all costs."
Posted by: Guybrush Threepwood at March 1, 2011 10:13 PM
The Metric is knowing some facts about the participants, and that the Tunisia change-over from the get go included real opposition, and featured a rather more genuine change the Egyptian one. In short, I don't agree with your equivalency at all.
I am also worried that chaos in operational governance will end up (i) excacerating the economic problems that will (ii) drive people towards more radical, less democratic actors speaking with populist forked tongues and (iii) will undermine the preparations for actual proper elections.
Non-elected (or 'elected' in irregular 'show of hands') "popular groups" semi-randomly cohering to run towns, etc is not democracy nor durable change in Tunisia.
Posted by: The Lounsbury at March 2, 2011 04:24 AM