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February 23, 2011
SubSah Afr Expats in Libya A useful point of reflexion
An item I believe is being potentially neglected in thinking about Gaddafi's reservoir of enforcers / sowers of civil war is the SSAf population in Libya, and the Black Libyans.
BBC News - Libya: Who is propping up Gaddafi?
Col Gaddafi has long fostered close relations with African countries, having turned his back on the Arab world some time ago, and there are an estimated 500,000 African expatriates in Libya out of a total population of six million.To put this in context, we need to think about the history of anti-Black progroms in Libya
The number of those serving as pro-Gaddafi mercenaries is thought to be quite small but their loyalty to his regime is said to be unquestioned and there are reports of extra flights being laid on to bring in more in recent days.
which caught up native blacks with SSAf "guests" (including exiles more or less permanently in Libya, as being not welcome back home, i.e. people with nowhere realistic to go) that had flooded in under The Guide's Africa policy. The violence in 2000, for example, was extreme and I doubt the black community has forgotten that. Many doubtless fear and expect similar treatment if Gaddafi falls.
Gaddafi's policies (which are evidently not the fault of either the average black Libyan nor the majority of economic migrants that make up the SSAf population) have without doubt exacerbated in a very uniquely nasty way general Maghrebi colour prejudice that we've discussed previously here.
This is a point to keep in mind re the talk of mercenaries and the hard-core to the last stand support he many have. People with their back against the wall who feel they are likely to be slaughtered are going to behave differently than those who think, "well, time to change shirts..." relative to allegiance. This also puts colour on a scenario of Qadhdhafi "going Guerilla" à la Sadaam.

Posted by The Lounsbury at February 23, 2011 12:25 PM
Filed Under: Ethnic Minorities
, Libya Civil War
, MENA Fringe
, Maghreb
, North Africa
, The MENA '48
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