February 02, 2011
Mubarek Regime Strategy
An item worth reading to understand regime strategy
“There are rich people and there are poor people. The poor have to eat,” one kiosk owner said yesterday. By this he meant, the rich people are in the square. This is not exactly true — the Tahrir crowd was a pretty diverse mixture of unemployed youth, professionals, and everyone else in between. But if you haven’t actually been there to look around, it’s easy for the state to propagate the idea that young dilettantes with enough money to afford rising food prices are the ones protesting, while the poor folk are forced to pay the price. I’ve spoken to a couple of self-declared ex-anti-Mubarak protesters who want the demonstrations to end: Mubarak says that he’s going and the country has had enough of the unrest, so why continue?This is why Mubarek & Co. believe they can win. And they can, unless the Americans pull the money back. If the Americans acquiesce to the crushing of the Egyptian protests, well, Mr. Obama's reputation in MENA (except among the dictators) will utterly collapse.
The undermining of the uprising is crude and cynical, but effective.
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First, welcome back!
One might recall that the protests were dominated by young, rich dilettants was one of the narratives adopted by the PRC regime in 1989 with regards Tiananmen.
Posted by: kao_hsien_chih at February 3, 2011 02:13 PM