January 29, 2011
We're Back: Whole New MENA Universe Open Thread
Our members have been distracted, and we went a bit supine, but we have been in the loop for latest developments, which we at Aqoul were not surprised at, though the timing, like such things, could never be precise. Anyway, as our esteemed members chime in with entries, do have at the latest developments in comments below. And if your comment is the usual sh*t-in-pants "what if these uprisings all turn Islamist like Iran?" Just type in "Cliche concern A" as your comment and save on bandwidth.
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I'm afraid I have very little analytical to say at the moment, besides "HOLY SHIT".
Posted by: Tom Scudder at January 28, 2011 07:20 PM
Posted by: Tom Scudder at January 28, 2011 07:21 PM
In all honest-to-goodness seriousness, right arm raised in oath, the expression "HOLY SH*T" was going to be the original caption.
Posted by: matthew h at January 28, 2011 08:55 PM
Yay! I was getting worried about y'all. So the big question in Egypt right now is: what will the army do, right?
Posted by: duaneg at January 29, 2011 08:45 AM
If I may be so bold to say that 'Aqoul is reacting as timely to the events as Ben Ali and Mubarak have been... ;)
Posted by: François Villeneuve at January 29, 2011 10:33 AM
^^ Under control, we've appointed a new Aqoul cabinet.
Posted by: matthew h at January 29, 2011 11:27 AM
Lounsbury has been bugging me to reconnect the backend for weeks.
Can't believe people are still milling about here. Hello again, my apologies.
Posted by: eerie at January 29, 2011 01:03 PM
Well, to quote Monty Python,
something's actually happening, Redge!
Posted by: matthew h at January 29, 2011 01:39 PM
Catching up on AJ while I rebuild the Aqoul platform. What's this about a new vice president...
Posted by: eerie at January 29, 2011 03:00 PM
Ugh...looting at the museums...
Posted by: eerie at January 29, 2011 03:06 PM
This is easy.
The tipping point was reached last night. I knew it was all over when I saw the first picture of an APC with a dozen cheering civilians on top.
The army will not oppose. Mubarak will leave Egypt by Monday -- mid-week at the latest -- and his new VP will take over. Unrest will continue -- is there an arabic version of "Won't Get Fooled Again"? -- and within a month, Mohamed ElBaradei will be appointed interim president until new elections can be held. After that it gets a little cloudy.
One slightly more provocative scenario that ends up in the same place is the protestors getting organized enough on Sunday to take over some radio and TV stations and just declaring the revolution. I also anticipate that ElBaradei will be "freed" from house arrest by a large, yet well-behaved, mob tomorrow morning. You can bet that frantic discussions along these lines are taking place this very minute.
Posted by: at January 29, 2011 09:19 PM
hat tip to msk:
Sudan next? - demos scheduled for Sunday in Khartoum.
Posted by: Tom Scudder at January 30, 2011 02:38 AM
No, not Sudan. They have tried and were dispersed already. Not much response from the street. The country is breaking up completely, North vs. South as everyone knows, but Darfur and Kasala seem to be next targets - and still, the government is still there unbothered.
Glad to see everyone's back and still here. I checked in a couple of days ago to see what the inside scoop might be, but didn't see anything.
American reaction is covered by "Cliche concern A" above, apparently. El Baradei more or less told Obama to just shut up, which was pretty hilarious.
Posted by: pantom at January 30, 2011 07:33 PM
Hooray! I was here a few days ago and feared it was a graveyard. Glad to see everyone is back and well.
Posted by: secretdubai at January 31, 2011 05:05 PM
Yeah, I had been trying to get back in since late December. I was in Tunisia for the couple weeks of fun.
Posted by: The Lounsbury at January 31, 2011 05:10 PM
I suppose that the turmoil this creates in MENA markets is making your professional life a little crazy, L.?
Posted by: Guybrush Threepwood at January 31, 2011 05:15 PM
One more thought - unless it's too daringly progressive - how about an Aqoul twitter feed? It could probably be set up as an automatic RSS of new articles from the main and sub-blogs on here.
NOT a Facebook page though - that would be an excruciation too far...
Posted by: secretdubai at January 31, 2011 06:05 PM
I reserved twitter.com/aqoul already, just not activated yet.
Posted by: eerie at January 31, 2011 06:56 PM
ok - it's activated with main headlines. Sub-blogs later.
Posted by: eerie at January 31, 2011 07:00 PM
One more suggestion, maybe posting a good thread to http://www.reddit.com every so often. I'm finding that site a great substitute for forums like SDMB, though I've also signed up to the Giraffe place mentioned.
Posted by: secretdubai at February 1, 2011 05:09 AM
Via Blood and treasure:
Posted by: Tom Scudder at February 1, 2011 06:06 PM