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September 07, 2007
When even MEMRI has doubts...
...then you're in trouble, if you are Morocco's pro-US monarch, with good if quasi-clandestine and somewhat uneasy relations with Israel. For those who've been held incommunicado the last five or six years, MEMRI is an Israel-based think-tank, led by former Israeli military intelligence officer Yigal Carmon. It is not renowned for its subtlety or detached, fair and factual analysis of the Middle East or Islamic issues.
MEMRI would usually be relied upon to provide ample ideological support to Morocco's King, being friendly as he is towards the USA and Israel. The fact that the most credible and popular opposition to his policies come from the islamists, of which the PJD is only one part (the other movement of similar importance being the outlawed but tolerated - like the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt - Al adl wal ihsan of cheikh Abdeslam Yassine), would normally ensure MEMRI's backing to any scheme devised to curb the perceived islamist surge.
It is therefore surprising, and perhaps even unquietening for Morocco's ruling circles, that even such a staunch anti-islamist source as MEMRI voices doubts, in a recent report, about the reality of the "scarecrow argument" that is being made by the regime and for the regime, according to which the manifold Royal prerogatives are necessary to counterbalance the risks posed by the islamist's perceived popular support. Facing this "islamist dilemma", otherWestern think-tanks have voiced positive sounds about a possible PJD victory in the elections, taking into consideration the inherent limits to any such victory set by Morocco's constitutional framwork, which concentrates power in the hands of the monarch. This is the case for example of Spanish think-tank FRIDE, in a recent report - "An islamist government in Morocco?":
From a regional perspective, most European observers hope for positive regional spill-overs and support the PJD, as it is seen as providing a far better model of an Islamist government than others in the region, notably Hamas
MEMRI's report is blunter:
What difference will it make then if the PJD scores a large victory on September 7? In the short term, Anouzla and Benchemsi are correct in saying that the absence of full democracy will sharply limit the significance of the elections - even if the PJD were to win a landslide in the popular vote. In the medium- to long-term, though, such a victory would have important implications. It would impact Moroccans' self-perception, and the world's perception of Morocco - no minor affair for a Western ally with a reputation for religious and political moderation.More concretely, though, it would have a direct impact on Morocco's declared "democratic transition." At present, there is a wide desire among the country's political class in favor of further devolution of authority from the monarchy to elected officials. If the Party of Justice and Development scores a large popular victory in 2007, the left and liberal parties will likely rethink their support for this process, fearing that it could place Morocco on the fast track to becoming a radical stated ruled by shari'a law. In this case, the PJD will have overplayed its hand, arousing antagonism without having achieved much in the way of real power.
On the other hand, if the PJD wins a respectable, but not overwhelming, portion of the popular vote, this will likely dispel fears that have arisen over the last year or so and will further shore up the consensus in favor of a further devolution of power to parliament and the government. In that case, the path would be open for Morocco to progress in the democratic transition and eventually join Mauritania in a small but growing club of North African democracies. [28] The onus would then be on King Muhammad VI to prove that the current constraints on democracy in Morocco are truly meant only as a guarantee of a successful transition, and not as an indefinite prolongation of regal privilege
With friends like that...
PS: For the record, here's the analysis from another staunch neo-con and pro-Israeli think-tank, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. Their analysis isn't half as bad as their reports usually are, allowing for a few errors - for example, the Istiqlal party isn't a rural party, even if it has rural members of parliament. The Moroccan rural party par excellence is the Mouvement Populaire (Haraka ach-chaabia) - but even that is a simplification, as the mayor of Morocco's capital city, Omar Bahraoui, is from that party.
Wendy Kristianasen's analysis, originally published in Le Monde Diplomatique and translated in English, is much more enriching in my view.
Posted by Ibn Kafka at September 7, 2007 06:15 AM
Filed Under: North Africa
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Comments
"Join Mauretania...."
On what planet is Mauretania a democracy? An election after a coup-d'etat is hardly "democracy" by any rational basis. Well except for Americans perhaps.
Posted by: The Lounsbury at September 7, 2007 09:56 AM
I would opine, by the way, that Morocco is far enough away from Israel that MEMRI's obsessions and agendas recede somewhat.
I shall perhaps post an anecdote about questions posed to me recently (relatively) as a foreign investor type by certain types of people as to whether FDI would flee w PJD victory. My answer was no, actually I think most investors would be encouraged by a well-managed election.
Posted by: The Lounsbury at September 7, 2007 10:06 AM
WINEP has often surprised me with high-quality reports, actually. I remember a recent one about Basra that was excellent.
About Mauritania, I'd say it's now a constitutionally and politically democracy by most formal definitions, even if in practice the change for ordinary people since 2005 is minimal (could it be otherwise?). The elections held after the coup were free, honest, well-run, contested, essentially neutral etc, and even if the pro-regime candidate won the presidency (by a narrow 53-47%) it didn't seem to be because of government meddling, and no one complained about the score.
Also, the press is more or less free, no prisoners of conscience, no blatant constitutional violations, etc. But since the country is on the social level still essentially feudal, if even that, the present openness will be lucky to last another election, esp. given rumors of continued meddling from the ex-junta. Lot's of countries can pull off one free election, two's the issue. Still, it could happen (think Mali) even if it's an open question whether that will help much economically and otherwise (think Mali).
Posted by: alle at September 7, 2007 12:29 PM
Well, Mauritania can claim at least one of these which no other government in the region can. Of course there are many other major issues in Mauritania that one can think of, including the fact that probably 20% of the population is enslaved. But Mauritania appears headed in the right direction.
Posted by: tequila at September 7, 2007 12:32 PM
Right, mate, the key is the DATA SET.
Well aware of Mali (and arguably relative to the utter disaster of the non-democratic regime the anemic positives of democracy are a win for the population), but Mali isn't as deeply fucked up as Mauretania and has managed a decade of reasonable elections.
Calling Mauretania a democracy .... well that's a level of optimism I'd not engage in (never mind the sheer ridiculousness of benchmarking any of the core Maghreb against bloody Mauretania - of course for MEMRI Mauretania must be a peachy place).
Posted by: The Lounsbury at September 7, 2007 01:09 PM
Also, the press is more or less free, no prisoners of conscience
I could introduce you to a couple of people who either by themselves, or through their family members, tasted first hand the democracy and "no prisoners of conscience" of Mauritania. In one case at least, I've witnessed it.
of course for MEMRI Mauretania must be a peachy place
Being the only Arab country with diplomatic relations with Israel besides the two neighbors, you bet it is.
Posted by: Shaheen
at September 8, 2007 04:04 AM
Are we talking of the Mauretania of this year, that is, after the free and fair presidential elections they've just had, which makes them the first Maghrebi country ever to have a freely elected head of state?
Posted by: Ibn Kafka at September 8, 2007 06:53 AM
Are we talking of the Mauretania of this year, that is, after the free and fair presidential elections they've just had, which makes them the first Maghrebi country ever to have a freely elected head of state?
Posted by: Ibn Kafka at September 8, 2007 06:58 AM
lounsbury -- Calling Mauretania a democracy .... well that's a level of optimism I'd not engage in
Well, I guess it's partly semantics. It's not a very "free country" in any meaningful sense of the word, but as I see it, at this moment, it has a political system that deserves to be called democratic -- meaning free elections and the other basics. But of course, that's until further notice, and means only so much on any practical level for people other than political scientists. Will it last? Hope so, but I wouldn't bet on it.
shaheen -- I could introduce you to a couple of people who either by themselves, or through their family members, tasted first hand the democracy and "no prisoners of conscience" of Mauritania. In one case at least, I've witnessed it.
Hm. Recently, or something that happened before the 2005-07 transition?
Posted by: alle at September 8, 2007 11:59 AM
I think we can all agree that MEMRI's translations are factual. As a group that is intent on presenting Arabic information in English, they would lose total credibility if they had mis-translated even one sentence of text. Thus, it remains, that they have provided the world with correct translations and yet the liberal and Muslim media chooses to pick on MEMRI for revealing such provocations, as opposed to being shocked by the content of the message.
My alltime favorite "mistranslation" is when the Western media, including MEMRI translated Ahmaghinejad as saying "we will wipe Israel off the map." As if you have to get into semantics when talking about a soveriegn countries destruction!
You are all the same group who thought Germany was justified in the Nuremberg Laws because you felt the Jews actually did have too much control on the poor Germans. Another case of a misconception that the Jews are conspiring to enslave humanity by giving them a conscience.
Posted by: B. Persian Jew at September 14, 2007 05:48 PM
and, Persian Jew, you're making the mistake of reading a descriptive for a general indication ('Jews' or 'Israeli Zionists' are preparing for war, this is bad) when a group amongst the Jews is meant, and interpreting that in a 'collective punishment' sense, that all Jews (or all Americans or all Palestinians or all Muslims) are meant, a classical sign of paranoia and a victim mentality - unhealthy in either case, but much more so when one has ceased really being a victim and has instead become incredibly powerful, with the largest and most army in the world in America's case and the most powerful army in the Middle East in Israel's...
you also view everything through the lens of the Holocaust and the Nuremberg tribunals - understandable given Jewish experiences in Europe and the horrible trauma of that experience, just as Palestinians who have only experienced Jews as 'Zionist occupation soldiers' view all Jews through that lens is understandable, but horrible and ugly when it translates into racist and anti-Semitic violence and rhetoric - understandable, but unacceptable to act upon.
Difficult to understand? Care to have me repeat that? MEMRI is far more clever than you seem to give it credit for, and that they generally quote accurately, although aqoul is the wrong place for you to insist that they always do that (please see previous posts and translations, say of the Wafa Sultan and al-Azhar debate, where several sources acknowledged that they had taken the MEMRI translation at face value in error) - and I should ignore that Yigal Carmon's background is in military intelligence, not say, from Hebrew University's translation department?
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Middle_East_Media_Research_Institute
Posted by: dawud at September 15, 2007 02:27 AM
Well, no we can't agree:
think we can all agree that MEMRI's translations are factual. As a group that is intent on presenting Arabic information in English, they would lose total credibility if they had mis-translated even one sentence of text.
As an assertion that's utter and complete tripe.
Translation being inexact under the best of circumstances, and given most consumers of MEMRI have no ability to cross-check, MEMRI has in fact quite a bit of wiggle room in spinning its translations. Never mind the distorted editing that we here have pointed out.
The assertion is mere hand waving.
Thus, it remains, that they have provided the world with correct translations and yet the liberal and Muslim media chooses to pick on MEMRI for revealing such provocations, as opposed to being shocked by the content of the message.
Well, I am no Liberal - presumably you mean it in the American sense American boy - but I do know Arabic well enough neither to be shocked by MEMRI's agitprop, nor decieved by its pretensions of providing a view of the Arabic press (or rather its trawling to find the most provactive texts to push its point of view of a dangerous Arab - Islamic world).
I do find telling your characterisation supra "Liberal [Left]" and Muslim.
Save it for another venue, my dear Little American ('Persian').
My alltime favorite "mistranslation" is when the Western media, including MEMRI translated Ahmaghinejad as saying "we will wipe Israel off the map." As if you have to get into semantics when talking about a soveriegn countries destruction!
Eh?
Well, yes, like Kruschev's bury you, semeantics in translation are oft important, although on Farsi translation I haven't an opinion.
You are all the same group who thought Germany was justified in the Nuremberg Laws because you felt the Jews actually did have too much control on the poor Germans. Another case of a misconception that the Jews are conspiring to enslave humanity by giving them a conscience.
Ah, accusing me of being a Nazi sympathiser. How very... trite. And boring.
Now fuck off, silly American poseur.
Posted by: The Lounsbury at September 15, 2007 06:54 AM
Please don't feed the troll. Although I notice subjectively an uptick in trolling of places that are pointing out the Iran war push. Hmmm.......
Oh, on MEMRI, assuming our visitor is in good faith, here's the point:
MEMRI translations are to the Arab-Muslim Middle East what "The Daily Show" newsclips are to George Bush. Sure they're mostly accurate and undoctored but you can just almsot see the MEMRI people putting on that bemused fake-puzzled did-you-hear that inanity expression that Jon Stewart would do on the Daily Show after an out of context clip of some silly thing the President may have actually said.
Accurate, but. . . you know what they're doing -- happily providing a caricature for ridicule.
Posted by: matthew hogan at September 15, 2007 10:18 PM
You're being generous, Matthew - there's been quite a few examples of botched translations on MEMRI's part.
Posted by: Ibn Kafka at September 16, 2007 08:46 AM
I think in many ways our Pun-Dit has almost put his finger on things.
The issue with MEMRI of course is almost never (at least to my knowledge) outright fabrication, but rather spin. Everyone makes mistakes in translation, itself subjective, but the fact MEMRI's translations, every single time I look at them go for the most negative rendition, and often seem to go out of their way to imply things that I shall say generously are not necessarily evident in a plain reading of a text say to me with their "all errors in one direction" that they play chop and select to push a particular vision.
I suppose in a way like this Daily Show (although I have never seen it, I think I get the picture - selection of clips, and editing of said clips to render the subject in the most unflattering light possible). Fabricated as such? Not usually, but fabricated as overall impression, yes.
Posted by: The Lounsbury at September 16, 2007 08:58 AM
MEMRI is edited for satire, that's an easy way to explain it.
Posted by: matthew hogan at September 16, 2007 10:56 AM
"My alltime favorite "mistranslation" is when the Western media, including MEMRI translated Ahmaghinejad as saying "we will wipe Israel off the map." As if you have to get into semantics when talking about a soveriegn countries destruction!"
What the hell are you talking about?!?
Ahmedinejad provoked so much - IMHO mostly contrived - outrage precisely because of the words he supposedly said, not because of any actions he did or did not take. Therefore, the exact words he used are precisely the point. Almost all qualified Farsi experts agree that the Prez did not in fact say "Israel should be destroyed", but instead predicted that the Zionist regime will wither away, just as the USSR and the Shah's regime in his own country did. Now, you may disagree with the sentiments expressed, but what is clear is that Ahmedinejad was obviously not advocating genocide, as some of the more hysterical Israelist pundits continue to suggest.
Regarding MEMRI, I agree with above posters that they do not produce outright fakery, but their distortions and 'editing' - as well as their very politicised choice of just what to translate - make them highly unreliable as a source. Here's an example from the Angry Arab, who DOES know Arabic:
http://angryarab.blogspot.com/2007/05/lies-of-memri-yet-again.html
Posted by: Sideshow Murph at September 20, 2007 04:32 AM
one more thing - the Daily Show is conscious of it's satire and irony - as Jon Stewart says, "I've made the President into a cartoon" - and MEMRI quite lacks both the humor, comic timing, and good-natured willingness to hear the other side out (witness the numerous visits by McCain, Bush cronies, and the recent visit by ex-Fed chief Greenspan)
Posted by: dawud at September 20, 2007 08:46 PM
I agree that it's malicious agitprop with a dishonest pretense to innocence, but the Daily Show is a good way to explain it to folks who might otherwise take MEMRI seriously and respond by saying "It's accurate and it's TAROOO".
Posted by: matthew hogan at September 21, 2007 12:09 AM

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